Why Xometry (XMTR) Is Down 6.5% After Raising Its Full-Year Revenue Guidance

• Xometry, Inc. raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of US$676 million to US$678 million, and for the fourth quarter, projected revenues of US$182 million to US$184 million, following third-quarter results showing sales of US$180.72 million, up from US$141.7 million a year earlier.
• The company's improved outlook comes after sustained revenue growth, highlighting ongoing demand for its AI-powered manufacturing marketplace despite continuing net losses.
• We'll explore how Xometry's raised revenue guidance shapes the investment narrative and addresses challenges related to profitability and margin expansion.

Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Xometry Investment Narrative Recap

Owning Xometry stock is ultimately about believing in the growing shift to digital, AI-powered manufacturing platforms and the company’s ability to translate rapid revenue growth into sustained profitability over time. The recent upward revision of 2025 revenue guidance supports optimism for continued top-line momentum, but doesn’t remove the concern that persistent net losses and margin pressures remain the most important short-term risk for shareholders, especially as operating expenses stay high and profitability is not yet in sight.

Of the recent announcements, the raised full-year and quarterly revenue guidance stands out most, as it reinforces Xometry’s continued expansion and shows customer demand for its digital marketplace. However, this positive indication does not yet address the ongoing challenge: achieving consistent GAAP profitability, given that net losses have grown in recent quarters despite higher sales.

Yet, while revenue milestones point forward, investors should also be aware that rising losses and ongoing investment may point to...

Read the full narrative on Xometry (it's free!)

Xometry's narrative projects $989.6 million revenue and $57.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 17.9% yearly revenue growth and a $119.1 million earnings increase from -$61.6 million.

Uncover how Xometry's forecasts yield a $51.67 fair value, a 15% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Simply Wall St Community members estimate Xometry’s fair value between US$32.75 and US$51.67, reflecting three individual viewpoints. Despite wide valuation differences, persistent unprofitability and pressure on earnings forecasts highlight deeper questions about long-term shareholder value.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Xometry - why the stock might be worth as much as $51.67!

Build Your Own Xometry Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Xometry research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Xometry research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Xometry's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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