Vicor (VICR) Is Up 5.8% After Securing Sole-Supplier Status For Major Hyperscaler Contract
- Vicor recently highlighted that it holds over US$1.00 billion of U.S. manufacturing capacity, about US$360 million in cash, and no debt, while revealing it was the only company meeting the requirements for a large hyperscaler contract expected to ramp earlier this year, with two OEM programs following later in the year.
- An additional boost to the outlook comes from Vicor’s high-margin licensing business, where management outlined a clear path to nearly doubling licensing revenue over the next two years alongside margin improvements from better factory utilization.
- We’ll now examine how being the sole qualified supplier for a major hyperscaler contract may reshape Vicor’s existing investment narrative.
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Vicor Investment Narrative Recap
To own Vicor, you generally need to believe its power solutions can secure durable demand from data center and AI customers, and that its large U.S. manufacturing base can be profitably filled. The recent disclosure that Vicor is the sole qualified supplier for a large hyperscaler puts revenue execution front and center as the key near term catalyst, while lingering order volatility and backlog softness remain the biggest risk if those ramps slip or do not scale as expected.
Among recent developments, Vicor’s update on its high margin licensing business feels most connected to this new contract. Management has laid out a path to nearly doubling licensing revenue over two years, which, when combined with better factory utilization from hyperscaler and OEM ramps, could help offset some of the earnings lumpiness that comes from order swings and litigation related income, giving investors a clearer line of sight on profit quality if demand holds up.
Yet, against this upbeat contract story, investors should also be aware of the risk that...
Read the full narrative on Vicor (it's free!)
Vicor's narrative projects $523.8 million in revenue and $45.4 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 11.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings decrease of about $20 million from $65.5 million today.
Uncover how Vicor's forecasts yield a $86.67 fair value, a 8% downside to its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Simply Wall St Community members have produced 2 fair value estimates for Vicor, ranging from US$53.39 to US$86.67, underscoring how far opinions can diverge. When you set those views against Vicor’s role as the only qualified supplier on a major hyperscaler program, it becomes even more important to weigh how concentrated demand and order instability might affect future results before settling on your own stance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Vicor - why the stock might be worth as much as $86.67!
Build Your Own Vicor Narrative
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your Vicor research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free Vicor research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Vicor's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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