Stock Analysis

Orion Energy Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OESX) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

NasdaqCM:OESX
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x Orion Energy Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:OESX) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Electrical companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Orion Energy Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OESX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 23rd 2024

What Does Orion Energy Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?

Orion Energy Systems certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Orion Energy Systems.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Orion Energy Systems would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 34% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Orion Energy Systems is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Orion Energy Systems' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Orion Energy Systems maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Orion Energy Systems you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.