Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Mercury Systems' (NASDAQ:MRCY) Returns On Capital

NasdaqGS:MRCY
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Mercury Systems is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.016 = US$35m ÷ (US$2.4b - US$220m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Mercury Systems has an ROCE of 1.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 9.2%.

View our latest analysis for Mercury Systems

roce
NasdaqGS:MRCY Return on Capital Employed May 8th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Mercury Systems compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Mercury Systems

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by .
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Expected to breakeven next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of Mercury Systems' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.6% from 4.9% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Bottom Line On Mercury Systems' ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Mercury Systems is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 17% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

If you want to continue researching Mercury Systems, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mercury Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.