Stock Analysis

LSI Industries Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LYTS) 28% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NasdaqGS:LYTS
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Despite an already strong run, LSI Industries Inc. (NASDAQ:LYTS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 64% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider LSI Industries as a stock to avoid entirely with its 37.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for LSI Industries as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for LSI Industries

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NasdaqGS:LYTS Price Based on Past Earnings January 23rd 2021
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LSI Industries.
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Is There Enough Growth For LSI Industries?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like LSI Industries' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 89%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twin analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 38% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that LSI Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On LSI Industries' P/E

Shares in LSI Industries have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of LSI Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for LSI Industries that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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