Stock Analysis

Imagine Holding Capstone Turbine (NASDAQ:CPST) Shares While The Price Zoomed 466% Higher

OTCPK:CGRN.Q
Source: Shutterstock

For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. For example, Capstone Turbine Corporation (NASDAQ:CPST) has generated a beautiful 466% return in just a single year. On top of that, the share price is up 31% in about a quarter. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 7.3% in three years.

View our latest analysis for Capstone Turbine

Given that Capstone Turbine didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last year Capstone Turbine saw its revenue shrink by 23%. So it's very confusing to see that the share price gained a whopping 466%. There can be no doubt this kind of decoupling of revenue growth and share price growth is unusual to see in loss making companies. While this gain looks like speculative buying to us, sometimes speculation pays off.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:CPST Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2021

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Capstone Turbine shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 466% over one year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 5% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Capstone Turbine is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About OTCPK:CGRN.Q

Capstone Green Energy

Capstone Green Energy Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, and services microturbine technology solutions for use in stationary distributed power generation and distribution networks applications worldwide.

Slightly overvalued with worrying balance sheet.