Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From AeroVironment, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AVAV) P/S

NasdaqGS:AVAV
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 5.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for AeroVironment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AVAV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

What Does AeroVironment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

AeroVironment certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AeroVironment.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AeroVironment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 79% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.0% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why AeroVironment is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From AeroVironment's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into AeroVironment shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for AeroVironment that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AeroVironment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AeroVironment is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.