Stock Analysis

AeroVironment, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AVAV) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

NasdaqGS:AVAV
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When close to half the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for AeroVironment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AVAV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

How AeroVironment Has Been Performing

AeroVironment certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think AeroVironment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For AeroVironment?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AeroVironment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 48%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.3% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why AeroVironment is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into AeroVironment shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for AeroVironment that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of AeroVironment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.