Benign Growth For Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NASDAQ:ARTW) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet
The Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NASDAQ:ARTW) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 68%, which is great even in a bull market.
Following the heavy fall in price, Art's-Way Manufacturing's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
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How Has Art's-Way Manufacturing Performed Recently?
For instance, Art's-Way Manufacturing's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Art's-Way Manufacturing will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Art's-Way Manufacturing's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Art's-Way Manufacturing's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.4% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 2.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Art's-Way Manufacturing's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Art's-Way Manufacturing's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Art's-Way Manufacturing revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Art's-Way Manufacturing that you need to be mindful of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.