SpareBank 1 SMN Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

SpareBank 1 SMN's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 7.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.4% in 3 years.

Key information

3.6%

Earnings growth rate

-7.9%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	-1.4%
Future return on equity	13.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	15 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:SRMG.F - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NOK Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	8,712	3,806	N/A	N/A	3
12/31/2025	8,582	3,830	N/A	N/A	3
12/31/2024	8,657	4,229	N/A	N/A	3
9/30/2024	9,117	3,055	-3,463	-3,330	N/A
6/30/2024	8,373	2,601	2,233	2,853	N/A
3/31/2024	8,037	2,535	7,072	7,188	N/A
12/31/2023	7,610	2,331	4,247	4,342	N/A
9/30/2023	6,857	1,978	3,610	3,745	N/A
6/30/2023	6,477	1,881	-6,847	-6,725	N/A
3/31/2023	6,167	1,719	-20,004	-19,867	N/A
12/31/2022	5,947	1,658	-19,471	-19,382	N/A
9/30/2022	5,225	1,615	-17,223	-17,123	N/A
6/30/2022	5,394	1,657	-9,486	-9,378	N/A
3/31/2022	5,620	1,697	-3,169	-3,036	N/A
12/31/2021	5,824	1,722	-15,727	-15,582	N/A
9/30/2021	6,300	1,565	-13,019	-12,779	N/A
6/30/2021	6,049	1,454	-16,294	-16,073	N/A
3/31/2021	5,910	1,424	-16,330	-16,123	N/A
12/31/2020	5,281	1,147	-7,399	-7,263	N/A
9/30/2020	5,093	1,097	-9,601	-9,578	N/A
6/30/2020	5,078	1,091	-9,558	-10,127	N/A
3/31/2020	5,086	1,084	-6,477	-6,998	N/A
12/31/2019	5,879	1,572	-1,142	-1,022	N/A
9/30/2019	5,898	1,595	-3,548	-3,378	N/A
6/30/2019	5,831	1,602	-1,295	-525	N/A
3/31/2019	5,844	1,656	-7,114	-6,395	N/A
12/31/2018	5,224	1,292	-8,044	-7,918	N/A
9/30/2018	5,314	1,386	-9,805	-9,832	N/A
6/30/2018	5,299	1,399	N/A	-7,557	N/A
3/31/2018	4,855	1,181	N/A	-4,483	N/A
12/31/2017	4,653	1,128	N/A	-10,937	N/A
9/30/2017	4,442	1,090	N/A	-6,611	N/A
6/30/2017	4,244	1,031	N/A	-8,015	N/A
3/31/2017	4,201	1,066	N/A	-9,776	N/A
12/31/2016	4,036	1,027	N/A	-6,462	N/A
9/30/2016	3,849	1,428	N/A	-6,438	N/A
6/30/2016	3,621	1,331	N/A	-7,791	N/A
3/31/2016	3,560	1,320	N/A	-5,777	N/A
12/31/2015	3,707	1,410	N/A	-5,761	N/A
9/30/2015	3,722	1,096	N/A	-6,307	N/A
6/30/2015	3,918	1,374	N/A	-6,423	N/A
3/31/2015	3,911	1,558	N/A	-7,524	N/A
12/31/2014	3,934	1,772	N/A	-3,224	N/A
9/30/2014	3,956	1,759	N/A	-4,356	N/A
6/30/2014	3,923	1,748	N/A	-2,261	N/A
3/31/2014	3,741	1,569	N/A	1,366	N/A
12/31/2013	3,510	1,390	N/A	-3,640	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SRMG.F's forecast earnings growth (3.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SRMG.F's earnings (3.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SRMG.F's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SRMG.F's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SRMG.F's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SRMG.F's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/11/19 18:25
End of Day Share Price	2024/08/22 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SpareBank 1 SMN is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jan Gjerland	ABG Sundal Collier
Fridtjof Berents	Arctic Securities ASA
Ulrik Zürcher	Beringer Finance AB