Tompkins Financial Corporation

NYSEAM:TMP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Tompkins Financial Valuation

Is TMP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TMP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TMP ($76.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($124)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TMP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TMP?

Key metric: As TMP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TMP. This is calculated by dividing TMP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TMP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.6x
EarningsUS$66.19m
Market CapUS$1.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TMP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TMP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
CNOB ConnectOne Bancorp
16x43.0%US$1.1b
BHLB Berkshire Hills Bancorp
33x40.8%US$1.3b
PFC Premier Financial
14.7x8.8%US$1.0b
SBSI Southside Bancshares
13x2.5%US$1.1b
TMP Tompkins Financial
16.6x12.9%US$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TMP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TMP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TMP 16.6xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies92PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TMP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the US Banks industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TMP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TMP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TMP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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