Stock Analysis

OFG Bancorp's (NYSE:OFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:OFG
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The board of OFG Bancorp (NYSE:OFG) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.22 on the 17th of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 3.8%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for OFG Bancorp

OFG Bancorp's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important.

OFG Bancorp has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. While past records don't necessarily translate into future results, the company's payout ratio of 21% also shows that OFG Bancorp is able to comfortably pay dividends.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 3.3% over the next year. But assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the future payout ratio could be 28%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think would be feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
NYSE:OFG Historic Dividend May 5th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.24 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.88. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. OFG Bancorp has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that OFG Bancorp has grown earnings per share at 32% per year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

We Really Like OFG Bancorp's Dividend

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The distributions are easily covered by earnings, and there is plenty of cash being generated as well. However, it is worth noting that the earnings are expected to fall over the next year, which may not change the long term outlook, but could affect the dividend payment in the next 12 months. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for OFG Bancorp (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.