Stock Analysis

Nu Holdings (NYSE:NU) Valuation Update Following U.S. Bank Charter Application and Global Expansion Plans

Nu Holdings (NYSE:NU) is making headlines after applying for a U.S. national bank charter, marking its first push beyond Latin America. Co-founder Cristina Junqueira will oversee this important move, which signals clear global ambitions.

See our latest analysis for Nu Holdings.

Momentum has been building around Nu Holdings, with the recent three-month share price return of 24.4% reinforcing optimism sparked by its U.S. expansion announcement and impressive international growth. Over the past three years, total shareholder returns have soared 245%, which is one reason investors are taking note.

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With Nu’s remarkable growth and global ambitions front and center, the real question now is whether there is still room for upside or if the current share price already reflects the company’s future potential.

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Most Popular Narrative: 8.4% Undervalued

Nu Holdings’ fair value estimate stands above its latest stock price, fueling the view that the company’s rapid growth might not be fully recognized by the market yet. This snapshot sets the stage for the underlying drivers in focus.

The ongoing transition from cash to digital payments and online banking in historically underserved markets continues to accelerate Nu's transaction volumes and increases opportunities for cross-sell and ecosystem stickiness. This supports robust net margin expansion as digital penetration deepens.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what’s powering this ambitious valuation call? The method hinges on not just fast user growth, but an aggressive boost in revenue, massive leaps in profitability, and a bold future profit multiple. Discover the high-conviction financial forecasts and what makes analysts believe Nu can outpace industry norms.

Result: Fair Value of $17.29 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, intensifying competition from established banks and fintech rivals, along with heightened regulatory scrutiny, could challenge Nu Holdings’ growth prospects and profitability in the future.

Find out about the key risks to this Nu Holdings narrative.

Another View: Market Ratios Send a Different Signal

Our DCF analysis suggests a different story for Nu Holdings. According to the SWS DCF model, the current share price is above the estimated fair value, which indicates the stock may be overvalued from this perspective. Does this cautious forecast hint at cracks in the growth narrative, or does it simply reflect the market’s future expectations?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

NU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
NU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Build Your Own Nu Holdings Narrative

If you have your own angle on Nu Holdings, or want to dive into the numbers firsthand, crafting a personal take is simple and quick. Just Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Nu Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nu Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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