Stock Analysis

KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.205

NYSE:KEY
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KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) will pay a dividend of $0.205 on the 13th of September. The dividend yield will be 5.4% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for KeyCorp

KeyCorp's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained.

Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, KeyCorp has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. But while this history shows that the company was able to sustain its dividend for a decent period of time, its most recent earnings report shows that the company did not make enough earnings to cover its dividend payout. This is an alarming sign for the sustainability of its dividends, as it may mean that KeyCorpis pulling cash from elsewhere to keep its shareholders happy.

Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 131.8% over the next 3 years. Despite the current payout ratio being slightly elevated, analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 50% over the same time period, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:KEY Historic Dividend July 14th 2024

KeyCorp Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.22 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.82. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. KeyCorp's earnings per share has shrunk at 15% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Our Thoughts On KeyCorp's Dividend

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for KeyCorp that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.