First Foundation Valuation

Is FFWM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FFWM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FFWM ($6.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($4.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FFWM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FFWM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FFWM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does FFWM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for FFWM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
CNND Canandaigua National
1.1xn/aUS$393.0m
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services
1.3xn/aUS$406.7m
BHB Bar Harbor Bankshares
0.9x0.8%US$388.1m
NBN Northeast Bank
1.3xn/aUS$409.4m
FFWM First Foundation
0.4x155.8%US$343.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: FFWM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FFWM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: FFWM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Banks industry average (0.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FFWM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FFWM PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FFWM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FFWM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.08
US$9.40
+54.6%
18.5%US$12.00US$8.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$7.21
US$10.40
+44.2%
19.8%US$13.00US$8.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$7.63
US$11.30
+48.1%
9.5%US$13.00US$10.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$9.04
US$11.30
+25.0%
9.5%US$13.00US$10.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$9.68
US$9.10
-6.0%
22.1%US$12.00US$6.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$6.69
US$7.30
+9.1%
27.9%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$4.62
US$7.50
+62.3%
26.0%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$6.08
US$8.80
+44.7%
20.5%US$12.00US$7.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$8.22
US$9.20
+11.9%
17.0%US$12.00US$7.50n/a5
Aug ’24US$7.01
US$9.00
+28.4%
18.3%US$12.00US$7.50n/a5
Jul ’24US$3.97
US$7.80
+96.5%
35.5%US$12.00US$4.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$4.13
US$8.70
+110.7%
22.0%US$12.00US$6.50n/a5
May ’24US$5.64
US$8.70
+54.3%
22.0%US$12.00US$6.50n/a5
Apr ’24US$7.45
US$14.80
+98.7%
32.9%US$20.00US$8.00US$7.215
Mar ’24US$14.92
US$18.00
+20.6%
7.9%US$20.00US$16.00US$7.635
Feb ’24US$16.04
US$18.30
+14.1%
5.9%US$20.00US$17.00US$9.045
Jan ’24US$14.33
US$18.90
+31.9%
5.4%US$20.00US$17.50US$9.685
Dec ’23US$14.51
US$18.90
+30.3%
5.4%US$20.00US$17.50US$6.695
Nov ’23US$16.09
US$20.20
+25.5%
10.1%US$24.00US$18.00US$4.625
Oct ’23US$18.14
US$24.00
+32.3%
3.7%US$25.00US$23.00US$6.085
Sep ’23US$19.01
US$24.60
+29.4%
3.3%US$25.00US$23.00US$8.225
Aug ’23US$20.76
US$24.33
+17.2%
3.9%US$25.00US$23.00US$7.016
Jul ’23US$20.87
US$27.17
+30.2%
7.8%US$31.00US$25.00US$3.976
Jun ’23US$22.09
US$29.17
+32.0%
7.8%US$33.00US$26.00US$4.136
May ’23US$22.22
US$29.17
+31.3%
7.8%US$33.00US$26.00US$5.646
Apr ’23US$24.17
US$31.67
+31.0%
6.0%US$34.00US$29.00US$7.456

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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