First Foundation Valuation
Is FFWM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of FFWM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: FFWM ($8.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.03)
Significantly Below Fair Value: FFWM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FFWM?
Key metric: As FFWM is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is FFWM's PB Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PB Ratio | 0.7x |
| Book | US$939.55m |
| Market Cap | US$661.23m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does FFWM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.2x | ||
MOFG MidWestOne Financial Group | 1.2x | 108.1% | US$700.1m |
HONE HarborOne Bancorp | 0.9x | 42.2% | US$544.9m |
HIFS Hingham Institution for Savings | 1.5x | n/a | US$622.4m |
WASH Washington Trust Bancorp | 1.3x | 5.8% | US$638.4m |
FFWM First Foundation | 0.7x | 111.1% | US$661.2m |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: FFWM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Industry
How does FFWM's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Book | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
FRCB First Republic Bank | 0.002x | n/a | US$27.98m |
SBNY Signature Bank | 0.0003x | n/a | US$2.18m |
BKES.F Banco Espírito Santo | n/a | n/a | US$56.01k |
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings | n/a | n/a | US$132.00 |
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Book vs Industry: FFWM is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (1x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is FFWM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | 0.7x |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FFWM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$8.03 | US$7.75 -3.5% | 10.7% | US$9.00 | US$7.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | US$6.71 | US$7.75 +15.5% | 10.7% | US$9.00 | US$7.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | US$5.88 | US$7.50 +27.6% | 11.5% | US$9.00 | US$7.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | US$7.04 | US$7.50 +6.5% | 11.5% | US$9.00 | US$7.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | US$6.62 | US$7.50 +13.3% | 11.5% | US$9.00 | US$7.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | US$6.47 | US$8.20 +26.7% | 24.9% | US$11.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | US$5.92 | US$8.40 +41.9% | 22.1% | US$11.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | US$5.46 | US$8.40 +53.8% | 22.1% | US$11.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | US$7.21 | US$10.40 +44.2% | 19.8% | US$13.00 | US$8.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | US$7.63 | US$11.30 +48.1% | 9.5% | US$13.00 | US$10.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | US$9.04 | US$11.30 +25.0% | 9.5% | US$13.00 | US$10.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | US$9.68 | US$9.10 -6.0% | 22.1% | US$12.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | US$6.69 | US$7.30 +9.1% | 27.9% | US$10.00 | US$5.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | US$4.62 | US$7.50 +62.3% | 26.0% | US$10.00 | US$5.00 | US$6.71 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | US$6.08 | US$8.80 +44.7% | 20.5% | US$12.00 | US$7.00 | US$5.88 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | US$8.22 | US$9.20 +11.9% | 17.0% | US$12.00 | US$7.50 | US$7.04 | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | US$7.01 | US$9.00 +28.4% | 18.3% | US$12.00 | US$7.50 | US$6.62 | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | US$3.97 | US$7.80 +96.5% | 35.5% | US$12.00 | US$4.00 | US$6.47 | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | US$4.13 | US$8.70 +110.7% | 22.0% | US$12.00 | US$6.50 | US$5.92 | 5 |
| May ’24 | US$5.64 | US$8.70 +54.3% | 22.0% | US$12.00 | US$6.50 | US$5.46 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | US$7.45 | US$14.80 +98.7% | 32.9% | US$20.00 | US$8.00 | US$7.21 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | US$14.92 | US$18.00 +20.6% | 7.9% | US$20.00 | US$16.00 | US$7.63 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | US$16.04 | US$18.30 +14.1% | 5.9% | US$20.00 | US$17.00 | US$9.04 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | US$14.33 | US$18.90 +31.9% | 5.4% | US$20.00 | US$17.50 | US$9.68 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | US$14.51 | US$18.90 +30.3% | 5.4% | US$20.00 | US$17.50 | US$6.69 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | US$16.09 | US$20.20 +25.5% | 10.1% | US$24.00 | US$18.00 | US$4.62 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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