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Comerica Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Comerica's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -8.1%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 1.7% per year. Comerica's return on equity is 9.4%, and it has net margins of 21.2%.
Key information
-8.08%
Earnings growth rate
-7.26%
EPS growth rate
| Banks Industry Growth | 11.18% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.68% |
| Return on equity | 9.38% |
| Net Margin | 21.16% |
| Next Earnings Update | 21 Apr 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jan 25
CMA: Merger Approvals And Integration Progress Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Comerica has moved higher from US$81.28 to US$88.75, with analysts pointing to recent target increases, ratings upgrades, and expectations around the Fifth Third acquisition as key drivers of their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Comerica clusters around two themes: the pending acquisition by Fifth Third and how regional banks stack up against larger peers.
Narrative Update • Jan 11
CMA: Fifth Third Deal And Higher P/E Multiple Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Comerica to about $113.47 from $99.00, citing higher Street price targets, recent upgrades related to the pending Fifth Third acquisition, and updated assumptions that include a higher future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth and profit margin expectations are more restrained. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning more constructive on Comerica following the announced acquisition by Fifth Third, with several research updates pointing to improved sentiment on both valuation and deal execution.Narrative Update • Dec 27
CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Drive Repricing And Earnings Outlook Through 2027
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Comerica higher, lifting the target from $97.00 to $99.00 as they factor in the Fifth Third acquisition, modestly stronger revenue growth and profitability assumptions, and a higher future earnings multiple reflecting anticipated deal accretion and improved banking sector sentiment. Analyst Commentary Street research surrounding Comerica has shifted meaningfully more constructive following the announced merger with Fifth Third, with several bullish analysts revisiting ratings and valuation frameworks.Narrative Update • Dec 13
CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Reframe Earnings Outlook And Trading Dynamics
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Comerica to $97 from about $71, reflecting higher expected revenue growth and valuation multiples as the Fifth Third stock merger reshapes the bank's earnings outlook and trading dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a meaningful shift in sentiment toward Comerica following the announced all stock acquisition by Fifth Third, with several bullish analysts revising ratings and price targets higher to reflect the new strategic and valuation framework.Narrative Update • Nov 29
CMA: Merger Will Shift Share Focus While Integration And Board Actions Remain Key
Comerica's average analyst price target has increased, with analysts citing the anticipated benefits and strategic rationale of the recently announced merger with Fifth Third as the primary drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Following the announcement of the merger between Comerica and Fifth Third, analysts have provided a range of perspectives on the outlook for Comerica shares.Narrative Update • Nov 15
CMA: Outlook Will Balance Merger Synergies With Execution And Integration Risks
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Comerica from $79.78 to $81.28. This reflects renewed optimism following the announced merger with Fifth Third and supportive M&A trends within the sector.Narrative Update • Nov 01
CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Shape Sunbelt Reach And Influence Future Performance
Comerica's fair value estimate has been raised from $75.05 to $79.78. Analysts cite anticipated benefits from the recently announced merger with Fifth Third and the resulting upward revisions to price targets.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength
Comerica's analyst price target has increased from $69 to $75.05. Analysts highlight the supportive impact of the pending merger with Fifth Third Bancorp and updated valuation frameworks.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength
Comerica’s analyst price target increased from $67.38 to $69.00, as analysts cite improving net interest income projections and a more constructive operating environment for mid-cap banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Comerica highlights a mix of optimistic and cautious views among analysts, reflecting both improved expectations for bank fundamentals and some persistent risks facing the sector.Narrative Update • Sep 11
Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength
Analysts have raised Comerica’s price target slightly to $67.38, reflecting expectations of a constructive macro environment, improved loan growth, potential M&A, and relative valuation appeal for capital-strong regional banks. Analyst Commentary Expectations of a constructive macro backdrop supporting banking fundamentals, loan growth acceleration in the second half, and potential M&A activity.Analysis Article • Aug 27
Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.71
The board of Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st...Seeking Alpha • Aug 19
CMA.PR.B: 6.875% Fixed Rate Reset Preferred IPO From Comerica Incorporated
Summary CMA.PR.B offers a 6.875% fixed, non-cumulative dividend, resetting in 2030, with favorable tax treatment, and strong dividend coverage from Comerica's common equity. Comerica's credit profile has been unchanged since 2020, but faces a negative outlook due to funding and liquidity pressures, though preferred dividend risk appears minimal for now. The preferred stock trades at a significant credit spread premium versus company debt, suggesting attractive relative value for income-focused investors. Relative sector valuation shows CMA-B is fairly priced versus peers, but I prefer higher-quality alternatives like BOH-B and RF-F for better risk/reward. I see no immediate concerns for CMA-B holders, but I will monitor for a more attractive entry point before considering an investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 02
Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.71
The board of Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.71
Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st of July. The...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Comerica Q1 Earnings Review: Deposit Weakness Offsets Solid Credit Quality
Summary Comerica Incorporated's Q1 results showed solid credit quality but weak deposit trends, with average deposits falling by $1.4 billion and a significant 5% annual decline. Despite cutting deposit costs aggressively, Comerica's strategy to maximize margins may hinder deposit growth, especially with the loss of the Direct Express contract. Loan demand remains soft, with average balances down $400 million, and commercial real estate exposure declining by $250 million amid economic uncertainty. Given average capital and poor deposit trends, I rate CMA stock as a hold, expecting shares to remain in the low-$50s, with limited upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 27
Comerica: Deposit Pressures Reflected After A Mixed Q4 (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Comerica's shares have been mixed, gaining 15% but lagging due to declining deposits and loss of a government contract, leading to a "hold" rating. Q4 results showed weak deposit growth but impressive pricing actions, with a shift from brokered to core deposits, aiding margin expansion. Loan demand remains tepid, but credit quality is solid with limited commercial real estate exposure, and the bank benefits more from falling rates. Despite some downside risks, CMA stock is trading around fair value, with limited upside but a secure dividend, justifying an upgrade to "hold". Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
Comerica: Too Much Optimism Given Deposit Headwinds (Downgrade)
Summary Comerica's shares have rallied 60% over the past year, but the recent gains appear overdone given ongoing deposit weaknesses. Despite a solid capital position and potential regulatory benefits, CMA faces challenges with declining noninterest-bearing deposits and higher deposit costs. The bank's net interest margin is pressured by unfavorable deposit mix and declining loans, with limited near-term earnings growth expected. With a full valuation at 13x earnings and a 10% downside risk, I recommend selling Comerica shares to capitalize on the recent rally. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Comerica makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 3,266 | 691 | 2,191 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 3,234 | 690 | 2,165 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 3,215 | 692 | 2,141 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 3,234 | 705 | 2,103 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 3,195 | 671 | 2,080 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 3,161 | 535 | 2,090 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 3,246 | 602 | 2,073 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 3,313 | 668 | 2,048 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 3,503 | 854 | 2,015 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 3,720 | 1,169 | 1,976 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 3,795 | 1,268 | 1,950 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 3,723 | 1,257 | 1,928 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 3,474 | 1,122 | 1,883 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 3,262 | 1,001 | 1,842 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,102 | 913 | 1,816 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 3,167 | 979 | 1,804 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 3,351 | 1,140 | 1,800 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,327 | 1,134 | 1,779 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 3,235 | 1,088 | 1,744 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 2,931 | 884 | 1,705 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 2,375 | 482 | 1,655 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 2,426 | 534 | 1,635 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 2,528 | 615 | 1,631 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 2,757 | 795 | 1,620 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,275 | 1,195 | 1,639 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,321 | 1,232 | 1,624 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 3,347 | 1,258 | 1,622 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 3,405 | 1,285 | 1,628 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 3,329 | 1,227 | 1,619 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 3,300 | 1,031 | 1,651 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,264 | 939 | 1,664 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,156 | 817 | 1,668 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,094 | 738 | 1,680 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 2,968 | 789 | 1,638 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 2,877 | 713 | 1,638 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 2,782 | 614 | 1,651 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,600 | 473 | 1,675 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 2,552 | 425 | 1,680 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 2,502 | 411 | 1,670 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 2,469 | 442 | 1,665 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 2,577 | 515 | 1,662 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,576 | 548 | 1,591 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 2,544 | 566 | 1,548 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 15 | 2,538 | 581 | 1,488 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: CMA has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: CMA's current net profit margins (21.2%) are higher than last year (21%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CMA's earnings have declined by 8.1% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: CMA's earnings growth over the past year (3%) exceeds its 5-year average (-8.1% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: CMA earnings growth over the past year (3%) did not outperform the Banks industry 19.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: CMA's Return on Equity (9.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/02/03 22:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/01/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Comerica Incorporated is covered by 32 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kevin Heal | Argus Research Company |
| David George | Baird |
| Kevin St. Pierre | Bernstein |