Comerica Incorporated

NYSE:CMA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.3b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Comerica Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Comerica's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.3% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 2% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 1.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.3%

Earnings growth rate

1.12%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.2%
Revenue growth rate2.0%
Future return on equity9.40%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jan 25

CMA: Merger Approvals And Integration Progress Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Comerica has moved higher from US$81.28 to US$88.75, with analysts pointing to recent target increases, ratings upgrades, and expectations around the Fifth Third acquisition as key drivers of their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Comerica clusters around two themes: the pending acquisition by Fifth Third and how regional banks stack up against larger peers.
Narrative Update Jan 11

CMA: Fifth Third Deal And Higher P/E Multiple Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Comerica to about $113.47 from $99.00, citing higher Street price targets, recent upgrades related to the pending Fifth Third acquisition, and updated assumptions that include a higher future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth and profit margin expectations are more restrained. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning more constructive on Comerica following the announced acquisition by Fifth Third, with several research updates pointing to improved sentiment on both valuation and deal execution.
Narrative Update Dec 27

CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Drive Repricing And Earnings Outlook Through 2027

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Comerica higher, lifting the target from $97.00 to $99.00 as they factor in the Fifth Third acquisition, modestly stronger revenue growth and profitability assumptions, and a higher future earnings multiple reflecting anticipated deal accretion and improved banking sector sentiment. Analyst Commentary Street research surrounding Comerica has shifted meaningfully more constructive following the announced merger with Fifth Third, with several bullish analysts revisiting ratings and valuation frameworks.
Narrative Update Dec 13

CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Reframe Earnings Outlook And Trading Dynamics

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Comerica to $97 from about $71, reflecting higher expected revenue growth and valuation multiples as the Fifth Third stock merger reshapes the bank's earnings outlook and trading dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a meaningful shift in sentiment toward Comerica following the announced all stock acquisition by Fifth Third, with several bullish analysts revising ratings and price targets higher to reflect the new strategic and valuation framework.
Narrative Update Nov 29

CMA: Merger Will Shift Share Focus While Integration And Board Actions Remain Key

Comerica's average analyst price target has increased, with analysts citing the anticipated benefits and strategic rationale of the recently announced merger with Fifth Third as the primary drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Following the announcement of the merger between Comerica and Fifth Third, analysts have provided a range of perspectives on the outlook for Comerica shares.
Narrative Update Nov 15

CMA: Outlook Will Balance Merger Synergies With Execution And Integration Risks

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Comerica from $79.78 to $81.28. This reflects renewed optimism following the announced merger with Fifth Third and supportive M&A trends within the sector.
Narrative Update Nov 01

CMA: Fifth Third Merger Will Shape Sunbelt Reach And Influence Future Performance

Comerica's fair value estimate has been raised from $75.05 to $79.78. Analysts cite anticipated benefits from the recently announced merger with Fifth Third and the resulting upward revisions to price targets.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength

Comerica's analyst price target has increased from $69 to $75.05. Analysts highlight the supportive impact of the pending merger with Fifth Third Bancorp and updated valuation frameworks.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength

Comerica’s analyst price target increased from $67.38 to $69.00, as analysts cite improving net interest income projections and a more constructive operating environment for mid-cap banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Comerica highlights a mix of optimistic and cautious views among analysts, reflecting both improved expectations for bank fundamentals and some persistent risks facing the sector.
Narrative Update Sep 11

Sunbelt And Digital Focus Will Define Future Strength

Analysts have raised Comerica’s price target slightly to $67.38, reflecting expectations of a constructive macro environment, improved loan growth, potential M&A, and relative valuation appeal for capital-strong regional banks. Analyst Commentary Expectations of a constructive macro backdrop supporting banking fundamentals, loan growth acceleration in the second half, and potential M&A activity.
Analysis Article Aug 27

Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.71

The board of Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st...
Seeking Alpha Aug 19

CMA.PR.B: 6.875% Fixed Rate Reset Preferred IPO From Comerica Incorporated

Summary CMA.PR.B offers a 6.875% fixed, non-cumulative dividend, resetting in 2030, with favorable tax treatment, and strong dividend coverage from Comerica's common equity. Comerica's credit profile has been unchanged since 2020, but faces a negative outlook due to funding and liquidity pressures, though preferred dividend risk appears minimal for now. The preferred stock trades at a significant credit spread premium versus company debt, suggesting attractive relative value for income-focused investors. Relative sector valuation shows CMA-B is fairly priced versus peers, but I prefer higher-quality alternatives like BOH-B and RF-F for better risk/reward. I see no immediate concerns for CMA-B holders, but I will monitor for a more attractive entry point before considering an investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 02

Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.71

The board of Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st...
Analysis Article Jun 11

Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.71

Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.71 per share on the 1st of July. The...
Analysis Article May 27

Comerica (NYSE:CMA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.71

Comerica Incorporated ( NYSE:CMA ) will pay a dividend of $0.71 on the 1st of July. This makes the dividend yield 5.1...
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Comerica Q1 Earnings Review: Deposit Weakness Offsets Solid Credit Quality

Summary Comerica Incorporated's Q1 results showed solid credit quality but weak deposit trends, with average deposits falling by $1.4 billion and a significant 5% annual decline. Despite cutting deposit costs aggressively, Comerica's strategy to maximize margins may hinder deposit growth, especially with the loss of the Direct Express contract. Loan demand remains soft, with average balances down $400 million, and commercial real estate exposure declining by $250 million amid economic uncertainty. Given average capital and poor deposit trends, I rate CMA stock as a hold, expecting shares to remain in the low-$50s, with limited upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 27

Comerica: Deposit Pressures Reflected After A Mixed Q4 (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Comerica's shares have been mixed, gaining 15% but lagging due to declining deposits and loss of a government contract, leading to a "hold" rating. Q4 results showed weak deposit growth but impressive pricing actions, with a shift from brokered to core deposits, aiding margin expansion. Loan demand remains tepid, but credit quality is solid with limited commercial real estate exposure, and the bank benefits more from falling rates. Despite some downside risks, CMA stock is trading around fair value, with limited upside but a secure dividend, justifying an upgrade to "hold". Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 15

Comerica: Too Much Optimism Given Deposit Headwinds (Downgrade)

Summary Comerica's shares have rallied 60% over the past year, but the recent gains appear overdone given ongoing deposit weaknesses. Despite a solid capital position and potential regulatory benefits, CMA faces challenges with declining noninterest-bearing deposits and higher deposit costs. The bank's net interest margin is pressured by unfavorable deposit mix and declining loans, with limited near-term earnings growth expected. With a full valuation at 13x earnings and a 10% downside risk, I recommend selling Comerica shares to capitalize on the recent rally. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:CMA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20283,412598N/AN/A1
12/31/20273,519681N/AN/A7
12/31/20263,426635N/AN/A9
12/31/20253,266691N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20253,23469024125N/A
6/30/20253,2156921,3411,444N/A
3/31/20253,2347059591,079N/A
12/31/20243,195671448601N/A
9/30/20243,1615351,8992,077N/A
6/30/20243,246602667850N/A
3/31/20243,313668412584N/A
12/31/20233,5038541,0981,251N/A
9/30/20233,7201,169609726N/A
6/30/20233,7951,2681,2021,297N/A
3/31/20233,7231,2571,7241,810N/A
12/31/20223,4741,122556638N/A
9/30/20223,2621,001392470N/A
6/30/20223,102913203279N/A
3/31/20223,167979-304-235N/A
12/31/20213,3511,140564634N/A
9/30/20213,3271,134335413N/A
6/30/20213,2351,088102187N/A
3/31/20212,931884306388N/A
12/31/20202,375482849928N/A
9/30/20202,426534866941N/A
6/30/20202,5286151,3231,409N/A
3/31/20202,7577951,6641,749N/A
12/31/20193,2751,1951,0041,090N/A
9/30/20193,3211,232N/A1,518N/A
6/30/20193,3471,258N/A1,427N/A
3/31/20193,4051,285N/A1,298N/A
12/31/20183,3291,227N/A1,616N/A
9/30/20183,3001,031N/A1,202N/A
6/30/20183,264939N/A1,049N/A
3/31/20183,156817N/A1,039N/A
12/31/20173,094738N/A1,085N/A
9/30/20172,968789N/A950N/A
6/30/20172,877713N/A908N/A
3/31/20172,782614N/A658N/A
12/31/20162,600473N/A486N/A
9/30/20162,552425N/A601N/A
6/30/20162,502411N/A712N/A
3/31/20162,469442N/A772N/A
12/31/20152,577515N/A865N/A
9/30/20152,576548N/A737N/A
6/30/20152,544566N/A687N/A
3/31/20152,538581N/A763N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CMA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: CMA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CMA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CMA's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CMA's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CMA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/03 09:05
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Comerica Incorporated is covered by 32 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kevin HealArgus Research Company
David GeorgeBaird
Kevin St. PierreBernstein