Should You Be Adding United Bancorp (NASDAQ:UBCP) To Your Watchlist Today?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 27, 2020
NasdaqCM:UBCP

Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like United Bancorp (NASDAQ:UBCP). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

View our latest analysis for United Bancorp

How Quickly Is United Bancorp Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. Impressively, United Bancorp has grown EPS by 17% per year, compound, in the last three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Not all of United Bancorp's revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers I've used might not be the best representation of the underlying business. While we note United Bancorp's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 4.6% to US$24m. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:UBCP Earnings and Revenue History October 27th 2020

United Bancorp isn't a huge company, given its market capitalization of US$71m. That makes it extra important to check on its balance sheet strength.

Are United Bancorp Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Not only did United Bancorp insiders refrain from selling stock during the year, but they also spent US$69k buying it. That's nice to see, because it suggests insiders are optimistic. We also note that it was the Independent Director, Gary Glessner, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying US$32k for shares at about US$11.93 each.

I do like that insiders have been buying shares in United Bancorp, but there is more evidence of shareholder friendly management. I refer to the very reasonable level of CEO pay. For companies with market capitalizations under US$200m, like United Bancorp, the median CEO pay is around US$586k.

The United Bancorp CEO received US$473k in compensation for the year ending . That seems pretty reasonable, especially given its below the median for similar sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Is United Bancorp Worth Keeping An Eye On?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about United Bancorp's strong EPS growth. But wait, it gets better. We have seen insider buying and the executive pay seems on the modest side of things. The message I'd take from this quick rundown is that, yes, this stock is worth investigating further. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for United Bancorp you should be aware of.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But United Bancorp isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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