The Community Financial Corporation

NasdaqCM:TCFC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$153.6m

Community Financial Valuation

Is TCFC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCFC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCFC ($27.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($77.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCFC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCFC?

Key metric: As TCFC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCFC. This is calculated by dividing TCFC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCFC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsUS$29.36m
Market CapUS$153.58m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCFC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCFC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
LYBC Lyons Bancorp
8.8xn/aUS$137.0m
ISBA Isabella Bank
13.5x19.9%US$184.6m
HLAN Heartland BancCorp
17.1xn/aUS$330.0m
EVBN Evans Bancorp
13.4x-13.7%US$241.9m
TCFC Community Financial
5.2xn/aUS$153.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCFC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCFC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TCFC 5.2xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies92PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCFC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the US Banks industry average (7.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCFC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCFC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TCFC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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