Territorial Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Territorial Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 125.9% and 8.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 125.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 1.1% in 3 years.

Key information

125.9%

Earnings growth rate

125.6%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.2%
Revenue growth rate	8.7%
Future return on equity	1.1%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	03 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Territorial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:TBNK) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Nov 05

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:TBNK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	43	4	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2025	38	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2024	35	-3	N/A	N/A	1
9/30/2024	36	-2	-5	-4	N/A
6/30/2024	39	0	-1	0	N/A
3/31/2024	42	2	2	3	N/A
12/31/2023	45	5	8	8	N/A
9/30/2023	50	8	9	11	N/A
6/30/2023	54	11	13	18	N/A
3/31/2023	57	14	14	19	N/A
12/31/2022	60	16	12	17	N/A
9/30/2022	61	17	12	15	N/A
6/30/2022	61	17	11	12	N/A
3/31/2022	61	17	7	7	N/A
12/31/2021	62	17	12	13	N/A
9/30/2021	64	19	17	18	N/A
6/30/2021	64	19	16	17	N/A
3/31/2021	64	19	19	21	N/A
12/31/2020	63	19	19	21	N/A
9/30/2020	61	18	21	23	N/A
6/30/2020	63	19	21	22	N/A
3/31/2020	64	20	19	20	N/A
12/31/2019	66	22	22	22	N/A
9/30/2019	66	21	23	23	N/A
6/30/2019	65	21	22	23	N/A
3/31/2019	65	21	22	23	N/A
12/31/2018	63	19	21	22	N/A
9/30/2018	63	17	18	19	N/A
6/30/2018	63	16	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2018	63	15	N/A	19	N/A
12/31/2017	63	15	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2017	62	17	N/A	19	N/A
6/30/2017	62	17	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2017	62	17	N/A	23	N/A
12/31/2016	62	16	N/A	19	N/A
9/30/2016	62	16	N/A	15	N/A
6/30/2016	62	15	N/A	14	N/A
3/31/2016	62	15	N/A	13	N/A
12/31/2015	61	14	N/A	17	N/A
9/30/2015	60	15	N/A	22	N/A
6/30/2015	59	14	N/A	20	N/A
3/31/2015	59	14	N/A	18	N/A
12/31/2014	58	14	N/A	14	N/A
9/30/2014	59	14	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2014	59	15	N/A	16	N/A
3/31/2014	59	14	N/A	18	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TBNK is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TBNK is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: TBNK is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TBNK's revenue (8.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TBNK's revenue (8.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TBNK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1.1%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/02 05:19
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Territorial Bancorp Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Christopher McGratty	Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Kelly Motta	Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Andrew Liesch	Piper Sandler Companies

Territorial Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 44%

Price target increased by 24% to US$11.27

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38%

Price target decreased by 7.1% to US$13.00

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Recent updates

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves a Dividend, Payable on November 22, 2024

Blue Hill Advisors Advance Offer with Detailed Disclosure to Board of Territorial Bancorp Inc

Yakira Capital Management Provides Information to Shareholders of Territorial Bancorp

Yakira Capital Urges Territorial Bancorp to Reconsider Acquisition Offer From Blue Hill Advisors

Investor group comprised of Allan Landon, Blue Hill Advisors LLC and others cancelled the acquisition of Territorial Bancorp Inc. (NasdaqGS:TBNK).

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 44%

Price target increased by 24% to US$11.27

Second quarter dividend of US$0.01 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves Dividend, Payable on August 23, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.01 per share

Upcoming dividend of US$0.01 per share

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 10, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HOPE) signed a definitive merger agreement to acquire Territorial Bancorp Inc. (NasdaqGS:TBNK) for $77.89 million.

Territorial Bancorp Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.05 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 23, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Territorial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:TBNK) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on November 24, 2023

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on November 24, 2023

Price target decreased by 7.1% to US$13.00

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share at 9.1% yield

New minor risk - Market cap size

Now 30% undervalued

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on August 25, 2023

Price target decreased by 11% to US$18.33

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Price target decreased by 13% to US$20.67

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 25%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 31%

Now 43% undervalued after recent price drop

Territorial Bancorp (NASDAQ:TBNK) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.23

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 23, 2023

Territorial Bancorp (NASDAQ:TBNK) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Declares Special Dividend, Payable on December 29, 2022

Territorial Bancorp Inc. (NasdaqGS:TBNK) announces an Equity Buyback for $5 million worth of its shares.

Insufficient new directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share

Territorial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:TBNK) Dividend Will Be $0.23

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Approves A Quarterly Cash Dividend, Expected to Be Payable on November 23, 2022

Insufficient new directors

Territorial Bancorp (NASDAQ:TBNK) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.23

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Announces Demise of David Murakami

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Territorial Bancorp Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on August 25, 2022

Territorial Bancorp declares $0.23 dividend

Price target decreased to US$26.33

Territorial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:TBNK) Dividend Will Be US$0.23

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors