S&T Bancorp Valuation

Is STBA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STBA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STBA ($42.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($71.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STBA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STBA?

Key metric: As STBA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STBA. This is calculated by dividing STBA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STBA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsUS$135.22m
Market CapUS$1.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STBA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STBA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
TCBK TriCo Bancshares
14x3.5%US$1.6b
QCRH QCR Holdings
12.9x5.1%US$1.5b
VBTX Veritex Holdings
18.5x16.1%US$1.6b
SRCE 1st Source
12.3x-1.3%US$1.6b
STBA S&T Bancorp
11.9x-4.3%US$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STBA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
STBA 11.9xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies79PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STBA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STBA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STBA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$42.13
US$40.75
-3.3%
4.4%US$43.00US$38.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$37.84
US$40.75
+7.7%
4.4%US$43.00US$38.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$40.61
US$40.50
-0.3%
2.1%US$41.00US$39.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$42.97
US$40.25
-6.3%
2.1%US$41.00US$39.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$42.58
US$40.25
-5.5%
2.1%US$41.00US$39.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$33.12
US$32.75
-1.1%
2.5%US$34.00US$32.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$31.91
US$32.75
+2.6%
2.5%US$34.00US$32.00n/a4
May ’25US$30.89
US$32.75
+6.0%
2.5%US$34.00US$32.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$31.89
US$35.00
+9.8%
3.5%US$36.00US$33.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$30.75
US$35.00
+13.8%
3.5%US$36.00US$33.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$32.47
US$35.00
+7.8%
3.5%US$36.00US$33.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$33.42
US$31.25
-6.5%
5.7%US$33.00US$29.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$29.34
US$29.25
-0.3%
2.8%US$30.00US$28.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$26.10
US$29.25
+12.1%
2.8%US$30.00US$28.00US$37.844
Oct ’24US$27.08
US$31.75
+17.2%
3.4%US$33.00US$30.00US$40.614
Sep ’24US$28.97
US$31.75
+9.6%
3.4%US$33.00US$30.00US$42.974
Aug ’24US$31.33
US$31.75
+1.3%
3.4%US$33.00US$30.00US$42.584
Jul ’24US$27.19
US$31.25
+14.9%
6.1%US$34.00US$29.00US$33.124
Jun ’24US$27.39
US$31.50
+15.0%
5.3%US$34.00US$30.00US$31.914
May ’24US$27.35
US$32.75
+19.7%
5.9%US$35.00US$30.00US$30.894
Apr ’24US$31.45
US$37.50
+19.2%
3.0%US$39.00US$36.00US$31.894
Mar ’24US$37.08
US$37.50
+1.1%
3.0%US$39.00US$36.00US$30.754
Feb ’24US$35.96
US$36.25
+0.8%
7.4%US$39.00US$32.00US$32.474
Jan ’24US$34.18
US$34.60
+1.2%
3.9%US$36.00US$32.00US$33.425
Dec ’23US$36.91
US$34.60
-6.3%
3.9%US$36.00US$32.00US$29.345
Nov ’23US$37.78
US$34.60
-8.4%
3.9%US$36.00US$32.00US$26.105

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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