Provident Bancorp Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of PVBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PVBC ($11.39) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] ($7.77)

Is PVBC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PVBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PVBC ($11.39) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($7.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PVBC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PVBC?

Key metric: As PVBC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PVBC. This is calculated by dividing PVBC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PVBC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	35.9x
Earnings	US$5.31m
Market Cap	US$186.69m

PVBC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PVBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PVBC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.4x
FCCO First Community	14.7x	17.0%	US$190.6m
ISBA Isabella Bank	13.5x	19.9%	US$184.7m
ESSA ESSA Bancorp	11.1x	n/a	US$191.4m
EXSR Exchange Bank (Santa Rosa CA)	14.5x	n/a	US$184.5m
PVBC Provident Bancorp	35.9x	31.2%	US$186.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PVBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PVBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank	0.02x	n/a	US$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding	1x	n/a	US$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank	0.002x	n/a	US$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings	0.00001x	n/a	US$132.00

No more companies available in this PE range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PVBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PVBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PVBC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	35.9x
Fair PE Ratio	16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PVBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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