Stock Analysis

Does Live Oak Bancshares (NASDAQ:LOB) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

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NYSE:LOB
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Live Oak Bancshares (NASDAQ:LOB). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for Live Oak Bancshares

Live Oak Bancshares's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so share price follows earnings per share (EPS) eventually. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Live Oak Bancshares managed to grow EPS by 12% per year, over three years. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.

I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. I note that Live Oak Bancshares's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. Live Oak Bancshares maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 103% to US$385m. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:LOB Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Live Oak Bancshares's forecast profits?

Are Live Oak Bancshares Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Even though there was some insider selling over the last year, that was outweighed by Chairman & CEO James Mahan's huge outlay of US$6.2m, spent buying shares. We should note the average purchase price was around US$34.50. The quantum of that insider purchase is both rare and a sight to behold, not unlike an endangered Amur Leopard in the wild.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Live Oak Bancshares bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth US$663m. That equates to 26% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. So it might be my imagination, but I do sense the glimmer of an opportunity.

While insiders are apparently happy to hold and accumulate shares, that is just part of the pretty picture. That's because on our analysis the CEO, Chip Mahan, is paid less than the median for similar sized companies. For companies with market capitalizations between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, like Live Oak Bancshares, the median CEO pay is around US$5.2m.

The CEO of Live Oak Bancshares only received US$822k in total compensation for the year ending . That looks like modest pay to me, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Live Oak Bancshares To Your Watchlist?

One positive for Live Oak Bancshares is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. On top of that, we've seen insiders buying shares even though they already own plenty. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 4 warning signs for Live Oak Bancshares (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

The good news is that Live Oak Bancshares is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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