Stock Analysis

John Marshall Bancorp (NASDAQ:JMSB) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.30

The board of John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:JMSB) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.30 on the 7th of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.7% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

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John Marshall Bancorp's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive.

John Marshall Bancorp is just starting to establish itself as being able to pay dividends to shareholders, given its short 2-year history of distributing earnings. Despite the company's shorter dividend history however, calculating for its payout ratio of 20% shows that John Marshall Bancorp is able to comfortably pay dividends.

EPS is set to fall by 0.6% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the future payout ratio could be 24%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
NasdaqCM:JMSB Historic Dividend June 13th 2025

See our latest analysis for John Marshall Bancorp

John Marshall Bancorp Is Still Building Its Track Record

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The annual payment during the last 2 years was $0.22 in 2023, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.30. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 17% over that duration. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Although it's important to note that John Marshall Bancorp's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.

Portfolio with Dividend calculation on simply wall st

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think John Marshall Bancorp will make a great income stock. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments John Marshall Bancorp has been making. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for John Marshall Bancorp that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:JMSB

John Marshall Bancorp

Operates as the bank holding company for John Marshall Bank that provides banking products and financial services in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.

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