First Community Bankshares Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of FCBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

FCBC ($45.76) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($69.3)

Is FCBC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCBC ($45.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($69.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCBC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCBC?

Key metric: As FCBC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FCBC. This is calculated by dividing FCBC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FCBC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	16.6x
Earnings	US$50.35m
Market Cap	US$826.93m

FCBC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	-6.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FCBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FCBC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21x
NBN Northeast Bank	13.3x	n/a	US$807.4m
ORRF Orrstown Financial Services	48.4x	65.8%	US$767.3m
LBAI Lakeland Bancorp	10.4x	4.3%	US$875.0m
CFB CrossFirst Bankshares	11.7x	9.6%	US$849.5m
FCBC First Community Bankshares	16.6x	-2.5%	US$826.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FCBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank	0.02x	n/a	US$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding	1x	n/a	US$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank	0.002x	n/a	US$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings	0.00001x	n/a	US$132.00

No more companies available in this PE range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FCBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCBC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	16.6x
Fair PE Ratio	11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FCBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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