A Fresh Look at Popular’s (BPOP) Valuation After Recent Strong Long-Term Returns

Simply Wall St

Popular (BPOP) has drawn investor attention lately after a string of steady returns and a strong track record in the financial sector. The recent numbers invite a closer look at how the company is performing.

See our latest analysis for Popular.

After a robust run, Popular’s share price has cooled a bit in the past quarter, but momentum over the longer term is still impressive. The latest share price sits at $115.44 with a year-to-date gain of 24.46%. Those looking back see a remarkable 172% total shareholder return over five years. Signs point to steady performance, with long-term holders benefiting the most as confidence in the bank’s fundamentals remains strong.

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With long-term returns this impressive, it begs the question: Is Popular’s current price a fair reflection of its true value, or could there be untapped upside for investors willing to look deeper?

Most Popular Narrative: 19% Undervalued

Popular’s most closely watched narrative suggests the company’s fair value stands well above the current share price. This signals a possible gap investors might be missing if they only look at recent momentum or peer comparisons.

Ongoing investments in digital infrastructure, including the launch of a new digital platform for commercial cash management and branch modernization, are expected to enhance customer acquisition, retention, and operational efficiency. These efforts support long-term revenue and margin expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what’s fueling this difference? The core of the narrative hinges on bold projections for future profitability, operational shifts, and confident growth forecasts. Which bet is the linchpin for that premium valuation? Find out what underpins the analysts’ conviction by exploring the full story.

Result: Fair Value of $143.11 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, risks such as heightened competition for deposits and Puerto Rico’s economic volatility could still threaten Popular’s positive long-term outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Popular narrative.

Build Your Own Popular Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dive deeper into the data, you can shape your own take in just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Popular research is our analysis highlighting 6 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Popular might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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