BCB Bancorp Valuation

Is BCBP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCBP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BCBP ($13.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($39.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCBP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCBP?

Key metric: As BCBP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCBP. This is calculated by dividing BCBP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCBP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsUS$19.87m
Market CapUS$226.23m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCBP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCBP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
FINW FinWise Bancorp
16.8x11.1%US$233.6m
FUNC First United
13.9x15.1%US$223.9m
EVBN Evans Bancorp
12.9x-13.7%US$237.0m
VABK Virginia National Bankshares
14.6xn/aUS$226.7m
BCBP BCB Bancorp
11.4x18.1%US$226.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCBP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCBP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BCBP 11.4xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies80PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCBP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCBP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCBP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BCBP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCBP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.27
US$13.88
+4.6%
5.3%US$15.00US$13.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$11.87
US$13.88
+16.9%
5.3%US$15.00US$13.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$11.83
US$13.94
+17.8%
7.0%US$15.50US$13.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$12.41
US$13.88
+11.8%
7.4%US$15.50US$13.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$12.09
US$13.88
+14.8%
7.4%US$15.50US$13.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$10.32
US$12.50
+21.1%
19.4%US$16.50US$10.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$10.00
US$12.50
+25.0%
19.4%US$16.50US$10.00n/a4
May ’25US$9.73
US$12.50
+28.5%
19.4%US$16.50US$10.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$10.25
US$13.75
+34.1%
13.2%US$16.50US$11.50n/a4
Mar ’25US$10.43
US$14.25
+36.6%
9.4%US$16.50US$13.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$12.20
US$14.25
+16.8%
9.4%US$16.50US$13.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$12.85
US$13.88
+8.0%
10.9%US$16.50US$13.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$11.89
US$13.00
+9.3%
16.5%US$16.50US$11.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$10.21
US$13.00
+27.3%
16.5%US$16.50US$11.00US$11.874
Oct ’24US$11.14
US$15.83
+42.1%
14.2%US$18.50US$13.00US$11.833
Sep ’24US$11.86
US$15.83
+33.5%
14.2%US$18.50US$13.00US$12.413
Aug ’24US$12.78
US$14.50
+13.5%
10.3%US$16.00US$13.00US$12.092
Jul ’24US$11.74
US$14.25
+21.4%
15.8%US$16.50US$12.00US$10.322
Jun ’24US$10.77
US$14.25
+32.3%
15.8%US$16.50US$12.00US$10.002
May ’24US$11.52
US$14.25
+23.7%
15.8%US$16.50US$12.00US$9.732
Apr ’24US$13.13
US$20.50
+56.1%
2.4%US$21.00US$20.00US$10.252
Mar ’24US$17.38
US$20.33
+17.0%
2.3%US$21.00US$20.00US$10.433
Feb ’24US$17.91
US$20.33
+13.5%
2.3%US$21.00US$20.00US$12.203
Jan ’24US$17.99
US$20.33
+13.0%
2.3%US$21.00US$20.00US$12.853
Dec ’23US$18.97
US$20.17
+6.3%
3.1%US$21.00US$19.50US$11.893
Nov ’23US$19.67
US$20.17
+2.5%
3.1%US$21.00US$19.50US$10.213

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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