Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:NSAN.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.8b

Nissan Motor Valuation

Is NSAN.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NSAN.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$3.61
Fair Value
18.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NSAN.F ($2.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NSAN.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NSAN.F?

Key metric: As NSAN.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NSAN.F. This is calculated by dividing NSAN.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NSAN.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsJP¥149.66b
Market CapJP¥1.71t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NSAN.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NSAN.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
F Ford Motor
11x18.0%US$38.8b
THO THOR Industries
24.1x23.2%US$5.1b
GM General Motors
5.1x-10.8%US$57.2b
LI Li Auto
16.7x21.4%US$23.8b
NSAN.F Nissan Motor
11.4x37.5%US$1.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NSAN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NSAN.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NSAN.F 11.4xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NSAN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NSAN.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NSAN.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio32.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NSAN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NSAN.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.95
US$2.61
-11.7%
30.7%US$4.44US$1.59n/a14
Jan ’26US$3.23
US$2.61
-19.0%
30.7%US$4.45US$1.59n/a14
Dec ’25US$2.50
US$2.86
+14.4%
27.2%US$4.63US$1.65n/a15
Nov ’25US$2.66
US$3.20
+20.3%
36.7%US$6.65US$1.98n/a15
Oct ’25US$2.70
US$3.48
+29.0%
34.9%US$6.98US$2.28n/a15
Sep ’25US$2.85
US$3.65
+28.0%
32.1%US$6.91US$2.26n/a16
Aug ’25US$3.07
US$3.82
+24.6%
23.8%US$6.57US$2.67n/a16
Jul ’25US$3.48
US$3.98
+14.6%
22.8%US$6.83US$3.01n/a16
Jun ’25US$3.58
US$4.12
+15.1%
22.9%US$6.95US$3.06n/a16
May ’25US$3.68
US$4.35
+18.0%
32.3%US$9.31US$3.10n/a16
Apr ’25US$3.75
US$4.53
+20.8%
31.7%US$9.49US$3.16n/a16
Mar ’25US$3.94
US$4.72
+19.7%
29.7%US$9.57US$3.59n/a15
Feb ’25US$4.03
US$4.86
+20.8%
31.0%US$10.09US$3.25n/a16
Jan ’25US$3.79
US$5.18
+36.8%
30.1%US$10.47US$3.66US$3.2316
Dec ’24US$3.93
US$5.00
+27.1%
29.8%US$10.05US$3.51US$2.5016
Nov ’24n/a
US$4.88
0%
30.5%US$9.95US$3.47US$2.6616
Oct ’24US$4.52
US$4.88
+8.0%
30.6%US$9.98US$3.48US$2.7016
Sep ’24US$4.22
US$4.92
+16.5%
31.8%US$10.19US$3.49US$2.8516
Aug ’24US$4.34
US$5.10
+17.4%
32.7%US$10.71US$3.67US$3.0716
Jul ’24US$4.02
US$4.59
+14.1%
35.6%US$10.35US$2.99US$3.4816
Jun ’24US$3.66
US$4.65
+27.1%
37.3%US$10.69US$2.94US$3.5816
May ’24US$3.57
US$4.75
+33.1%
37.0%US$10.84US$2.99US$3.6816
Apr ’24US$3.64
US$4.79
+31.7%
37.7%US$11.02US$3.04US$3.7516
Mar ’24US$3.90
US$4.63
+18.8%
37.5%US$10.64US$2.94US$3.9416
Feb ’24US$3.53
US$4.81
+36.2%
43.5%US$11.93US$3.23US$4.0315
Jan ’24US$3.01
US$5.04
+67.5%
39.0%US$11.81US$3.20US$3.7916
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US$2.59
Fair Value
13.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 09:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is covered by 43 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kei NihonyanagiBarclays
Koichi SugimotoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Kei NihonyanagiBofA Global Research