Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:RACE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Ferrari N.V. (NYSE:RACE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ferrari

How Much Debt Does Ferrari Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Ferrari had debt of €2.90b, up from €2.57b in one year. However, it also had €1.41b in cash, and so its net debt is €1.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RACE Debt to Equity History February 9th 2023

How Healthy Is Ferrari's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ferrari had liabilities of €1.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €3.89b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.41b as well as receivables valued at €262.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.54b.

Of course, Ferrari has a titanic market capitalization of €45.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ferrari's net debt is only 1.0 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 25.0 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Ferrari grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ferrari can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Ferrari recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, Ferrari's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And we also thought its net debt to EBITDA was a positive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Ferrari is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Ferrari has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.