Tesla, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1t

Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSLA ($339.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($93.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Key metric: As TSLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSLA. This is calculated by dividing TSLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio85.6x
EarningsUS$12.74b
Market CapUS$1.10t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
RACE Ferrari
51.3x9.4%US$76.5b
GM General Motors
5.6x-10.2%US$60.3b
F Ford Motor
12.2x19.7%US$42.6b
LI Li Auto
16x24.7%US$22.7b
TSLA Tesla
85.6x13.0%US$1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (85.6x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSLA 85.6xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (85.6x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio85.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (85.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$339.64
US$232.47
-31.6%
30.0%US$400.00US$85.00n/a42
Nov ’25US$248.98
US$222.96
-10.4%
26.9%US$315.00US$85.00n/a43
Oct ’25US$258.02
US$208.27
-19.3%
29.5%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Sep ’25US$214.11
US$204.80
-4.3%
29.9%US$310.00US$85.00n/a43
Aug ’25US$216.86
US$204.39
-5.7%
30.0%US$310.00US$85.00n/a43
Jul ’25US$209.86
US$183.03
-12.8%
27.7%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Jun ’25US$178.08
US$181.27
+1.8%
28.5%US$310.00US$85.00n/a41
May ’25US$179.99
US$181.69
+0.9%
28.3%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Apr ’25US$175.22
US$199.35
+13.8%
29.0%US$320.00US$85.00n/a40
Mar ’25US$202.64
US$212.17
+4.7%
26.5%US$345.00US$85.00n/a39
Feb ’25US$188.86
US$217.27
+15.0%
26.9%US$345.00US$85.00n/a38
Jan ’25US$248.48
US$237.10
-4.6%
28.5%US$380.00US$85.00n/a36
Dec ’24US$238.83
US$236.38
-1.0%
28.2%US$380.00US$85.00n/a36
Nov ’24US$205.66
US$238.49
+16.0%
27.9%US$380.00US$85.00US$248.9836
Oct ’24US$250.22
US$253.29
+1.2%
30.2%US$400.00US$85.00US$258.0236
Sep ’24US$245.01
US$248.99
+1.6%
29.1%US$350.00US$85.00US$214.1136
Aug ’24US$261.07
US$245.11
-6.1%
29.8%US$350.00US$85.00US$216.8635
Jul ’24US$261.77
US$208.04
-20.5%
30.3%US$335.00US$85.00US$209.8635
Jun ’24US$207.52
US$187.99
-9.4%
25.8%US$300.00US$85.00US$178.0835
May ’24US$161.83
US$187.31
+15.7%
26.1%US$300.00US$85.00US$179.9934
Apr ’24US$207.46
US$205.27
-1.1%
27.0%US$320.00US$85.00US$175.2233
Mar ’24US$202.77
US$200.11
-1.3%
27.9%US$320.00US$85.00US$202.6434
Feb ’24US$181.41
US$190.42
+5.0%
29.9%US$320.00US$85.00US$188.8633
Jan ’24US$123.18
US$248.38
+101.6%
34.4%US$526.67US$85.00US$248.4830
Dec ’23US$194.70
US$279.94
+43.8%
31.7%US$530.00US$85.00US$238.8332
Nov ’23US$227.82
US$281.60
+23.6%
31.8%US$530.00US$85.00US$205.6632

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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