Stock Analysis

Investors three-year losses continue as Gentherm (NASDAQ:THRM) dips a further 8.5% this week, earnings continue to decline

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NasdaqGS:THRM

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But long term Gentherm Incorporated (NASDAQ:THRM) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Sadly for them, the share price is down 53% in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 45%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 26% in the last 90 days. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

With the stock having lost 8.5% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

View our latest analysis for Gentherm

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Gentherm saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 9.3% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 22% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NasdaqGS:THRM Earnings Per Share Growth March 5th 2025

We know that Gentherm has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Gentherm had a tough year, with a total loss of 45%, against a market gain of about 15%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Gentherm .

Of course Gentherm may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.