Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 62% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Motorcar Parts of America's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Auto Components industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Motorcar Parts of America
What Does Motorcar Parts of America's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Motorcar Parts of America has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Motorcar Parts of America's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Motorcar Parts of America's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Motorcar Parts of America would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.5% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.6% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Motorcar Parts of America's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Motorcar Parts of America's P/S
Following Motorcar Parts of America's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
When you consider that Motorcar Parts of America's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Motorcar Parts of America with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Motorcar Parts of America might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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