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Lucid Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LCID) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 27% Slump
Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Lucid Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.8x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Auto industry have P/S ratios below 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Lucid Group
How Lucid Group Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Lucid Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lucid Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lucid Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lucid Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 36%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 85% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Lucid Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, Lucid Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Lucid Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Lucid Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lucid Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:LCID
Lucid Group
A technology company, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains, and battery systems.
Excellent balance sheet with limited growth.
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