Stock Analysis

We Like The Quality Of Chenming Electronic Tech's (TWSE:3013) Earnings

TWSE:3013
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Despite posting healthy earnings, Chenming Electronic Tech. Corp.'s (TWSE:3013 ) stock has been quite weak. Along with the solid headline numbers, we think that investors have some reasons for optimism.

See our latest analysis for Chenming Electronic Tech

earnings-and-revenue-history
TWSE:3013 Earnings and Revenue History March 20th 2024

A Closer Look At Chenming Electronic Tech's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Chenming Electronic Tech recorded an accrual ratio of -0.22. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NT$1.0b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NT$253.1m. Chenming Electronic Tech's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chenming Electronic Tech.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Chenming Electronic Tech's profit was reduced by unusual items worth NT$54m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Chenming Electronic Tech to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Chenming Electronic Tech's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both Chenming Electronic Tech's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Chenming Electronic Tech's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! If you'd like to know more about Chenming Electronic Tech as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - Chenming Electronic Tech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

After our examination into the nature of Chenming Electronic Tech's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.