Stock Analysis

Gemtek Technology Co., Ltd. (TPE:4906) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

TWSE:4906
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When close to half the companies in Taiwan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Gemtek Technology Co., Ltd. (TPE:4906) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Gemtek Technology has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Gemtek Technology

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TSEC:4906 Price Based on Past Earnings December 22nd 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Gemtek Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Gemtek Technology?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Gemtek Technology would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 295% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 84% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Gemtek Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Gemtek Technology's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Gemtek Technology currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Gemtek Technology that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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