Stock Analysis

Does Casing Macron Technology (GTSM:3325) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TPEX:3325
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Casing Macron Technology Co., Ltd. (GTSM:3325) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Casing Macron Technology

What Is Casing Macron Technology's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Casing Macron Technology had NT$558.5m of debt, an increase on NT$295.1m, over one year. However, it does have NT$253.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$304.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3325 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2020

How Strong Is Casing Macron Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Casing Macron Technology had liabilities of NT$1.17b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$20.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$253.6m and NT$1.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast NT$278.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Casing Macron Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Casing Macron Technology's net debt is only 0.87 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 68.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Casing Macron Technology grew its EBIT by 354% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Casing Macron Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last two years, Casing Macron Technology actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

The good news is that Casing Macron Technology's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Casing Macron Technology seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Casing Macron Technology (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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