Stock Analysis

We Think Kinsus Interconnect Technology (TWSE:3189) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

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TWSE:3189

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Kinsus Interconnect Technology Corp. (TWSE:3189) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kinsus Interconnect Technology

How Much Debt Does Kinsus Interconnect Technology Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Kinsus Interconnect Technology had NT$20.1b of debt, up from NT$18.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had NT$16.9b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$3.19b.

TWSE:3189 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2025

How Strong Is Kinsus Interconnect Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kinsus Interconnect Technology had liabilities of NT$15.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$23.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$16.9b as well as receivables valued at NT$5.20b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$16.9b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kinsus Interconnect Technology is worth NT$50.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Kinsus Interconnect Technology has net debt of just 0.42 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. But the bad news is that Kinsus Interconnect Technology has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kinsus Interconnect Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Kinsus Interconnect Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Kinsus Interconnect Technology's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Kinsus Interconnect Technology's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kinsus Interconnect Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kinsus Interconnect Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.