Stock Analysis

Is King Yuan Electronics (TPE:2449) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:2449
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. (TPE:2449) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for King Yuan Electronics

What Is King Yuan Electronics's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 King Yuan Electronics had NT$24.9b of debt, an increase on NT$21.5b, over one year. However, it does have NT$8.22b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$16.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2449 Debt to Equity History January 13th 2021

How Healthy Is King Yuan Electronics' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that King Yuan Electronics had liabilities of NT$8.16b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$24.6b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$8.22b as well as receivables valued at NT$6.67b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$17.9b.

King Yuan Electronics has a market capitalization of NT$43.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

King Yuan Electronics has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that King Yuan Electronics has boosted its EBIT by 69%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if King Yuan Electronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, King Yuan Electronics reported free cash flow worth 6.1% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Both King Yuan Electronics's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think King Yuan Electronics is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with King Yuan Electronics .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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