Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Nanya Technology Corporation (TPE:2408)?

TWSE:2408
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Nanya Technology Corporation (TPE:2408), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the TSEC over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Nanya Technology’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Nanya Technology

What's the opportunity in Nanya Technology?

Nanya Technology appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Nanya Technology’s ratio of 33.88x is above its peer average of 25.66x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Semiconductor industry. Another thing to keep in mind is that Nanya Technology’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Nanya Technology look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSEC:2408 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 28th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Nanya Technology. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 2408’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe 2408 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 2408 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for 2408, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Nanya Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Nanya Technology you should be aware of.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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