Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Chang Wah Technology Co., Ltd. (GTSM:6548) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Chang Wah Technology
How Much Debt Does Chang Wah Technology Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Chang Wah Technology had NT$4.38b of debt, an increase on NT$3.07b, over one year. However, it does have NT$2.61b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$1.77b.
How Healthy Is Chang Wah Technology's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Chang Wah Technology had liabilities of NT$2.58b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$3.71b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$2.61b and NT$2.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$1.67b.
Since publicly traded Chang Wah Technology shares are worth a total of NT$19.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Chang Wah Technology has net debt of just 1.2 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Also good is that Chang Wah Technology grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chang Wah Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Chang Wah Technology produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
The good news is that Chang Wah Technology's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Chang Wah Technology seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Chang Wah Technology has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TPEX:6548
Chang Wah Technology
Develops, manufactures, and sells LED lead frame and molding compound materials in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.