Stock Analysis

Is Xintec (GTSM:3374) Using Too Much Debt?

TPEX:3374
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Xintec Inc. (GTSM:3374) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Xintec

How Much Debt Does Xintec Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Xintec had NT$1.09b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$2.04b, one year before. On the flip side, it has NT$789.0m in cash leading to net debt of about NT$305.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3374 Debt to Equity History December 31st 2020

How Healthy Is Xintec's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xintec had liabilities of NT$2.07b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.22b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$789.0m in cash and NT$1.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$700.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Xintec's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the NT$47.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Xintec has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Xintec has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.16. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 48.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Xintec grew its EBIT by 632% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Xintec can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, Xintec actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Xintec's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! We think Xintec is no more beholden to its lenders, than the birds are to birdwatchers. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Xintec that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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