Subdued Growth No Barrier To momo.com Inc.'s (TWSE:8454) Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.1x momo.com Inc. (TWSE:8454) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Taiwan have P/E ratios under 20x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, momo.com's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for momo.com
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on momo.com.Is There Enough Growth For momo.com?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as momo.com's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 17% overall rise in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.9% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that momo.com's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that momo.com currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for momo.com that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:8454
momo.com
Engages in the TV and radio production, radio and TV program distribution, radio and TV commercial, video program distribution, issuing of magazine, and retailing businesses in Taiwan.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.