Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. (TWSE:5907) Is Unlikely

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TWSE:5907

It's not a stretch to say that Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd.'s (TWSE:5907) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Multiline Retail industry in Taiwan, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Grand Ocean Retail Group

TWSE:5907 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2025

What Does Grand Ocean Retail Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Grand Ocean Retail Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Grand Ocean Retail Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Grand Ocean Retail Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Grand Ocean Retail Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Grand Ocean Retail Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Grand Ocean Retail Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Grand Ocean Retail Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Grand Ocean Retail Group you should be aware of, and 3 of them are potentially serious.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Grand Ocean Retail Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.