Stock Analysis

Here's Why King's Town Construction (TPE:2524) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TWSE:2524
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, King's Town Construction Co., Ltd. (TPE:2524) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for King's Town Construction

What Is King's Town Construction's Net Debt?

As you can see below, King's Town Construction had NT$15.9b of debt at September 2020, down from NT$20.3b a year prior. However, it also had NT$325.8m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$15.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2524 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2021

How Strong Is King's Town Construction's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, King's Town Construction had liabilities of NT$10.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$7.26b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$325.8m as well as receivables valued at NT$142.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$17.3b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's NT$12.9b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

King's Town Construction's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 6.9 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 8.3 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Importantly, King's Town Construction grew its EBIT by 44% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is King's Town Construction's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, King's Town Construction generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

We weren't impressed with King's Town Construction's level of total liabilities, and its net debt to EBITDA made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble converting EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about King's Town Construction's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with King's Town Construction .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2524

King's Town Construction

Engages in the residential and building development in Taiwan.

Adequate balance sheet low.

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