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Not Many Are Piling Into Evergreen Steel Corp. (TWSE:2211) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Evergreen Steel Corp. (TWSE:2211) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Evergreen Steel's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 21x and even P/E's above 37x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For example, consider that Evergreen Steel's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Evergreen Steel
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Evergreen Steel's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Evergreen Steel's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 96% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Evergreen Steel is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Evergreen Steel's P/E
Evergreen Steel's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Evergreen Steel revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Evergreen Steel (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Evergreen Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:2211
Evergreen Steel
Engages in the steel structure engineering and environmental protection activities in Taiwan.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.