Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel Corp. (TWSE:2008) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

TWSE:2008
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Despite an already strong run, Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel Corp. (TWSE:2008) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 78%.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Taiwan's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel as a stock not worth researching with its 4.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2008 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 27th 2024

What Does Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 5.6% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's P/S

Shares in Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We didn't expect to see Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term trends, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.