David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Asia Polymer Corporation (TPE:1308) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Asia Polymer
What Is Asia Polymer's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Asia Polymer had debt of NT$3.75b at the end of December 2020, a reduction from NT$5.70b over a year. On the flip side, it has NT$1.78b in cash leading to net debt of about NT$1.97b.
How Healthy Is Asia Polymer's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Asia Polymer had liabilities of NT$1.48b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$3.29b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$1.78b and NT$748.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$2.25b.
Since publicly traded Asia Polymer shares are worth a total of NT$20.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Asia Polymer's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. And we also note warmly that Asia Polymer grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asia Polymer's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Asia Polymer actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Happily, Asia Polymer's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Asia Polymer's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Asia Polymer is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:1308
Asia Polymer
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells low density polyethylene (LDPE) and ethylene vinyl acetate copolymer (EVA) in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.