Stock Analysis

Ginar Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (GTSM:6151) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

TPEX:6151
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Ginar TechnologyLtd's (GTSM:6151) stock is up by a considerable 7.8% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Ginar TechnologyLtd's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Ginar TechnologyLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ginar TechnologyLtd is:

12% = NT$108m ÷ NT$931m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every NT$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NT$0.12 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Ginar TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

At first glance, Ginar TechnologyLtd seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 7.7% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. For this reason, Ginar TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 14% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Ginar TechnologyLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 1.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
GTSM:6151 Past Earnings Growth January 6th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Ginar TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Ginar TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 95% (implying that 5.0% of the profits are retained), most of Ginar TechnologyLtd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Ginar TechnologyLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Additionally, Ginar TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ginar TechnologyLtd. While the company does have a high rate of return, its low earnings retention is probably what's hampering its earnings growth. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Ginar TechnologyLtd's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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