Regal Holding Co., Ltd. (TWSE:4807) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Despite an already strong run, Regal Holding Co., Ltd. (TWSE:4807) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 28% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Regal Holding may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Luxury industry in Taiwan have P/S ratios greater than 1.5x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Regal Holding
How Has Regal Holding Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Regal Holding over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Regal Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Regal Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Regal Holding's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.8%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 31% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Regal Holding's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Regal Holding's P/S
Regal Holding's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's no surprise that Regal Holding maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Regal Holding (2 are significant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Regal Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:4807
Regal Holding
Designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry in Thailand, the United States, France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.