If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Looking at Makalot Industrial (TPE:1477), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Makalot Industrial:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.25 = NT$2.7b ÷ (NT$19b - NT$8.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Makalot Industrial has an ROCE of 25%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Luxury industry average of 2.8%.
Check out our latest analysis for Makalot Industrial
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Makalot Industrial compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Makalot Industrial here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
There hasn't been much to report for Makalot Industrial's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So while the current operations are delivering respectable returns, unless capital employed increases we'd be hard-pressed to believe it's a multi-bagger going forward. That being the case, it makes sense that Makalot Industrial has been paying out 87% of its earnings to its shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 43% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than25% because total capital employed would be higher.The 25% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 43% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.
In Conclusion...
While Makalot Industrial has impressive profitability from its capital, it isn't increasing that amount of capital. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 100% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Makalot Industrial (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
Makalot Industrial is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
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About TWSE:1477
Makalot Industrial
Engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of garments for men, women, and children in Taiwan.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.